Ketidakpastian adalah sebutan yang digunakan dengan berbagai cara di sejumlah bidang, termasuk filosofi , fisika , statistika , ekonomika , keuangan , asuransi , psikologi , sosiologi , teknik , dan ilmu pengetahuan informasi . Ketidakpastian berlaku pada perkiraan masa depan hingga pengukuran fisik yang sudah ada atau yang belum diketahui.
Contohnya, jika Anda tidak tahu apakah besok hujan, maka Anda mengalami ketidakpastian. Bila Anda menerapkan kemungkinan ini pada hasil memungkinkan yang menggunakan perkiraan cuaca atau , Anda telah memperkirakan ketidakpastian.
Lihat pula
Bahan pustaka
- (2006-09-11). Understanding Uncertainty . Wiley-Interscience . ISBN 978-0470043837 .
- (2005-09-01). Reasoning about Uncertainty . MIT Press . ISBN 978-0262582599 .
- (1989). Ignorance and Uncertainty . New York: Springer-Verlag . ISBN 0-387-96945-4 .
Pranala luar
- Measurement Uncertainties in Science and Technology, Springer 2005 Diarsipkan 2007-12-15 di Wayback Machine .
- Proposal for a New Error Calculus
- Estimation of Measurement Uncertainties — an Alternative to the ISO Guide Diarsipkan 2008-05-27 di Wayback Machine .
- Bibliography of Papers Regarding Measurement Uncertainty
- Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results
- Strategic Engineering: Designing Systems and Products under Uncertainty (MIT Research Group)
- Research results regarding uncertainty models, uncertainty quantification, and uncertainty processing
- Decision tree to choose an uncertainty method for hydrological and hydraulic modelling Diarsipkan 2013-06-01 di Wayback Machine ., Choosing an uncertainty analysis for flood modelling.
- Decision Analysis in Health Care Diarsipkan 2006-12-12 di Wayback Machine . George Mason University online course offering lectures and tools for modeling and mitigating uncertainty in health care scenarios.
- Uri Weiss, The Regressive Effect of Legal Uncertainty [1]
- NUSAP.net educational website dedicated to coping with uncertainty and quality in science for policy, for all actors involved in the science policy interface.
- Understanding Uncertainty site from Cambridge's Winton programme